June 18, 2013

All Civil Disruptions have a few things in common, are you ready?

Over the past few months we have seen protests in many parts of the world.  The most recent is in Egypt.  Most people don’t pay too much attention to any of these.  We have so much going on in our own lives that we don’t give problems in other parts of the world more than the 75 seconds it takes to tell a story on the news.  We may catch the headline in the newspaper but most of us don’t read the whole article.   It is time we all start to pay a little more attention to these events because I believe this is a preview of what we are going to see here in America. 

Most protests don’t get more than a few seconds on the news if they make it at all.  When protests become violent, they are then riots and that gets attention.  The old adage “If it bleeds, it leads” is still the first rule of journalism.  It then gets a few more seconds of our attention.

Here is what we have seen and what we believe is coming.

Greece and France.  These countries are bankrupt from the social safety nets they provide to their citizens and especially government workers.  We saw riots in both countries when the government said they needed to cut back the benefits people received from the government.

Tunisia.  Young educated people are taking to the streets to protest the lack of jobs.  Tunisia’s unemployment rate is at 14%.  We are told that ours is 9.4% but if you aren’t collecting unemployment, you are not counted.  Our actual rate is probably close to that of Tunisia.   The protesters were told to get a good education to get a good job and there are no jobs for them.   This is also a backlash of two other issues.  One is the price of food is going up quickly making it harder and harder to support families and feed their children.  Two, The Dictator in Tunisia has heavily repressed the population for more than 2 decades since he took over the country.  This has led to bottled up anger that is now exploding amid widespread political corruption.

By the way, the Dictator, President Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali fled the capital city of Tunis.  It is reported that his wife left the country with  10′s of millions of US dollars in cash.

Egypt.  This conflict is about the rapidly increasing cost of food, a dictator that has been in power for over 30 years, government corruption and unemployment.   To quell the protests, the government cut off all cell phones, they cut off the Internet and closed the banks.  

Could this really happen in America?

Just look at what people are protesting over in other parts of the world.

Government cutbacks.   Happening here and there is lots more coming

The rising cost of food.  Have you compared prices lately?

Chronic Unemployment.  Everyone knows someone that is unemployed or underemployed.  Do you really believe that the unemployment rate is 9.4%?  What is anyone in government doing about it?

Government Corruption.  Do I have to spell this one out.  It is rampant here.

We have the same issues here that are causing big problems in other countries.  Not only could it happen here, we believe it will happen here.

So what happens to people who are not protesting (rioting)?  How are they (you) affected.

If you are unhappy with the way things are going and you don’t want to participate in the protests, you will be caught up in it one way or another.  Here is what happens every time.  

1.  Gas deliveries are stopped.  When the gas stations run out, they are out.

2.  Interruptions in power.  If power is off for an hour, it’s an adventure.  If it’s off for a day,  it’s an inconvenience.  If it is off for a week, it is a hardship.  If it is off for a month, it’s devastating.

3.  The grocery stores are empty.  You local grocery store only keeps enough stock for a day or two.  They are constantly getting deliveries.  If there is no fuel for the trucks or power for the coolers and freezers, that interrupts their stock.  You have seen what happens to the shelves in the grocery stores before a big storm.  What would happen if there was a real disaster or civil crisis?  Keep in mind, no power, no credit or debit cards.

4.  Communication is interrupted.  Egypt took the most drastic measures by cutting off cell phones and the Internet but in every one of these incidents, communication was interrupted.  Will this happen here.  The President has the power to do it and more. 

So what do you do?

You can turn this potential disaster into an adventure with a little preparation.  Here are the top 5 things you can do in case of civil unrest.

1.  Keep your car full of gas.  This will at least give you the ability to move around if you have to. 

2.  Keep 3 months worth of food at home.  AS food prices continue to go up, you will be hedging against the cost by stocking up now.  If the power goes out for an extended period of time, you will need access to a good water source or your own stored water reserves. 

3.  Prepare for what you will do in an extended power outage.  This includes your plans for heat, preparing food and medical issues. 

4.  Keep some cash at home.  If the power is out for any length of time or the banks close, you will need a way to trade.  Business won’t or won’t be able to take cards, cash will be the only way.

5.  Alternate Communications.  If cell phones and Internet communications are down, you will need a way to stay in touch with your family.  Land lines (so far they have remained up but the traffic on them made completing calls tougher).  Pre-determined meeting places to gather to get to a safe place. 

There are lots more things than this but this is a good list to start with.

Just because these things have not happened here in the past like they have in other countries, don’t be lulled into believing it can’t or won’t.  The people that prepare (preppers) will be better off whether anything happens or not.  The signs are there and they are here too.

Pulling HAMP like a Weed? Hold on…

I know its just January, almost February but for fiscal minded politicos, its spring time and its time to clean, a little weeding if you will.  We are seeing it here in Washington as cities like Everett and Lynnwood cut back on teachers and other staff, and even at the state level as Governor Gregoire puts the axe to under-preforming programs and asks for whole sale cut backs in expenses and personnel.   News from the other Washington (D.C.) that there are further cuts on a national level.  One in particular is HAMP.

From a professional stand point, I have been less than accepting of the program.  The Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) for short has been an abject failure.  Nationwide, until last summer we had seen the modification to application ratio sit at about 3.6%.  Recent news has shown that number climbing to about 7% and in particular locals where the states have implemented special hotlines and other foreclosure deferment programs like Colorado, the number has climbed to 12%.  Not exactly favorable numbers.

To be fair to HAMP, a lot of applicants cannot qualify for the modification.  The target is 31% of pre-tax income.  With the loss of jobs, loss of overtime, or any combination of decreased earning capacity will cause some homeowners to be in a situation to where they simply cannot afford to stay, even if a modification was made to meet 31%.

The issue that I take is that in many instances is that the bank essentially gets to look at the value of the current loan as a starting point for determining if it will in fact modify.  If the bank is not better off, it has not incentive to modify and won’t.

Jim Jordan, Darrell Issa and Pat McHenry, all Republican congressmen have introduced a House Bill that would clean out HAMP due to its failure in meeting the projections of 3 to 4 million modifications as opposed to the 579,000 that had been accomplished through December.

The repeal of these bills in of itself will do nothing to cure the foreclosure crisis.  In fact, for the handful of people it helped, it would be detrimental.  The problem with those bills is taht there is no private enforcement, no consumer protection act application, no provision requiring good faith action on the part of the bank.  When there is no enforcement, the bill or regulation is worth about as much as the paper it is written on. (Sorry for the dangling participle)

The beauty of the Foreclosure Mediation bills that I have commented extensively upon this week, is that there were finally some teeth.  No more paper tigers here.  The attorney could, on good facts, get a finding that the bank had acted in bad faith.  Bad Faith suits are enough to make executives soil themselves and that is why the banks and their big law lackeys have made many arguments against the passage of these bills.

Though I applaud the removal of under-preforming and broken vestiges of government, it is much like a garden with weeds.  You can pull weeds all day long, but if you don’t put something good in its place, the weeds come back.  Spring clean, put things in order, but don’t leave us without any tools to fight the bank, the weed will just come back.

Originally posted at http://distressedandtaxed.blogspot.com/2011/01/end-of-hamp.html

Churches are getting a Financial Revival too.

It is no surprise that the housing crunch is extending it’s reach to churches too.  In a recent article in the Wall Street Journal, we learn that the number of churches around the country that are unable (or unwilling) to pay their mortgages is surging. 

With the unemployement rate that has been over 9% for almost two years, people aren’t tithing as much as they have in the past.  Which means that like most family budgets, the church budgets are shrinking too.  When you combine this with the plunge in real estate prices and the increased need in the congegrations, churches are understanding that their money can be better spent renting instead of owning their building.  We are seeing churches, sometimes of different denominations, sharing the same location.  This allows them to spend less money on the building and more money and energy on sharing their message. 

After all, “A building is not a church”   

To read the entire article, please consider Churches Find End is Nigh

If you are dealing with this same issue with your house, understand that the house is just a house.  Take a lesson from the reality that faces over 16 million homeowners today.  Consider the pressure and the damage that it is doing to your spiritual life as well as your financial life. 

We believe there is a wonderful life on the other side of this depressing housing crash.  There really  is freedom for those who let go.  

Take a look at your options and experience your own Financial Revival.

www.FinancialRevivalGroup.com

Money May Derail Foreclosure Mediation in Washington

I don’t know about you, but I used ride trains everywhere.  Of course, not in the US because our mass transit sucks, but in Japan.  Trains are cool, they are powerful, can transport enormous amounts of people and goods, and if you have a Japanese conductor, they are efficient.  The only problem is that they ride on a rail, permanently attached to the ground and if the train ever leaves that rail, well, buckle-up buttercup, cause you will be needing a personal injury attorney.

Yesterday, I attended the House and Senate hearings on the new legislation which is termed Foreclosure Mediation.  The previous posts went into detail on the legal ramifications of the bills (HB 1362 and SB 5275) and I continue to support them.  However, yesterday’s Senate Hearing which was Chaired by Senator Steve Hobbs chimed an unfortunate reality, money.

Senator Hobbs pointed out that the fiscal note (link here) that this bill would cost WA taxpayers $3.3 million to implement.  Well, that said, there are some enormous issues with that number, and there is alternative financing that should make the impact to the general budget a net of zero. First of all, the fiscal note assumes that WA will see 40,000 foreclosures next year.  The number is likely accurate, or accurate enough for an estimate as the baseline that the industry experts were throwing out yesterday was somewhere in the vicinity of 30,000 and a recent Realty Track estimate had it at 50,000.  Both numbers are skewed by faulty data because they look at different measures such as the number of notices of default that are filed.  Well, in my practice I have forced one bank to file three notices of default on my one client because the bank is an abject screw up.

The second issue with the foreclosure number is that it includes all foreclosures.  Foreclosure impacts every type of property, whether it is bare land, commercial, industrial, investment, or residential owner-occupied.  The bill only targets the properties that are owner occupied.  So there will only be a percentage of the foreclosures that even qualify for the the program. Since only a percentage qualifies, the expenditures should be quite a bit lower because the government will not be looking at the entire cost for 40,000 foreclosures.

The last issue is that there is a funding mechanism of a $30 surcharge being attached to each notice of default filed with the state.  This fee alone should pay for the project, but that is not all.  Each mediation will cost $400, to be split by the parties.  To enhance the overall effectiveness, a lobby from coalition of 20 mediation clinics in the state said that they were already equipped to handle the mediation and have alternate funding sources already accounted for in the State budgets.  Thus no additional cost.

There was some testimony that County Auditors believe that this $30 fee is not a recording fee, but in actuality a tax which is not properly apportioned, can anyone say Health Care Reform?  This is a valid point which will likely be litigated at some point, but I believe the fee is limited in scope and in actuality is a fee.  I am sure that some Big Law lackey will take up the put-upon bank’s sob story and dog and pony show it in front of the court but I believe it is a losing argument.

So the action item from this post, is let Senator Hobbs know that the budget office got it wrong, that the bill is right and good, and don’t let tactical delay from the big banks derail good legislation.

Originally posted at http://distressedandtaxed.blogspot.com/2011/01/money-may-derail-foreclosure-mediation.html

Mortgage help can turn into a disaster

An article in the Star Tribune in Minneapolis talks about the how the banks take money from people under the pretense of getting them a loan modification.  We have many experiences with clients who have been taken by the banks in this way. 

For more information, please consider Mortgage help can turn into a disaster.

Here is the sunshine about this whole situation.  If you knew what the banks actually could and would do, you could actually benefit from the programs in place.  We believe that people are smart and with the right information about how to deal with the banks, you can actually win.  Yep, we do it everyday. 

To find the light at the end of the tunnel and to see what life is like on the other side of this mess. 

Go to www.FinancialRevivalGroup.com.

What we believe and what we do…

Revival

/rɪˈvaɪ vəl /  [ri-vahy-vuh l]

–noun

Restoration to life, reawakening, strength, resurgence

 

We believe that whenever a door is closed, a window of good fortune opens, for those who look for it.

“Working America” needs a beacon of hope in today’s housing market.  We are the ones who stand up for you and guide you through all of the possibilities, to make you whole again.  Our members are coached to take the reality of the financial downturn and turn it into one of the greatest financial advantages in their lifetime. 

The Financial Revival Group, Inc. has assembled the best and brightest experts in every field needed by our members to provide ongoing solutions and relief.  Our end goal is to help you come to the proper resolution with your underwater home and experience the freedom of the richer life that is just on the other side.

 

 

 

Update on House Committee Meeting for HB 1362 – Foreclosure Mediation

I wanted to capture some of the information and my observations from today’s House Judiciary Committee Meeting on HB 1362. A committee staff person took the first few minutes to flesh out the bill and I would like to recap a lot of what was stated, of course with my own added commentary.
First, the bill is designed to strengthen the “meet and confer” provisions that already exist in the bill.  As it stands now, RCW 61.24.031, which expires December 31, 2012 and only applies to Deeds of Trust that were signed between 2003 and 2007, requires the lender to contact the homeowner by phone and mail and have an initial conversation with the homeowner owning the right to a subsequent meeting with the lender to discuss the homeowner’s financial ability to repay the debt.  The problem with this section is that there is a compliance section that allows the lender to send a letter and document three phone calls, whether the homeowner answers or not is of no consequence, and then the lender has “acted in good faith in complying with the law.
From what I have seen, there is a log recorded on the Notice of Default which lists the day the letter was sent and the days and times the lender tried to make the required phone call.  The problem is that it is impossible to distinguish the calls simply seeking payment and the calls that are actually trying to comply with the statute.  The lender will say its one in the same.   Just to be sure, it is not one in the same.
This bill would extend the provision to all owner occupied properties, regardless of the date of the DOT, remove the sunset date at the end of 2012, and would also disallow the meeting to occur by phone, but would require an in person meeting  The bill proposes to change the language from may to must in many instances giving more teeth to the legislation.The second and maybe the most significant and certainly the most controversial aspect of the bill is the issue of Mediation.  The bill would require that a homeowner that requests a mediation after the NOD has posted and before the NOT is posted, be given a chance to have a third party mediator sit down with the homeowner and a decision maker from the bank.
The mediation requirements have some teeth to them and that is why it is so controversial.  The bill would require the bank to act in good faith and negotiate as such.  The legislation goes to illustrate good faith by including the beneficiary to provide accurate statements of loan balances, copies of original loan documents, proof that the entity claiming to be the beneficiary is the owner of the promissory note, and itemized lists of arrears and fees, an affordable loan modification calculation, and net present values of the modification versus proceeds from an anticipated foreclosure.
The Washington Bankers Association and United Trustees Association and some lawyers from Davis Wright and Tremain presented over 25 minutes of counters to these requirements.  The representative from WBA presented a three part defense.  First, the WBA has already agreed to strengthen “Meet and Confer” without further legislation; second, WBA has pledged to fund additional Housing Counselors; and Third, provide an alternative legislation based off the Colorado model.
The lawyer from Davis Wright Tremain, a respected law firm in Seattle, and let’s be honest and call the firm (and not its attorneys) what they are, corporate whores, called the mediation not mediation, but mandatory arbitration.  This is because of the Consumer Protection Act which I will detail later, would add teeth to failures to negotiate in good faith.  The incentive in other wards is more of a stick than a carrot which the banks object to being prodded with during foreclosure.
Additionally, and DWT is not alone, the issue of governmental interference with a private contract, which is unconstitutional, was brought up as a potential problem.  The Executive Committee of the Real Property and Probate Section of the Washington State Bar addressed the same issue and supposedly sent out an email to that effect yesterday, I still haven’t seen it.  My reading of the bill shows that there is tremendous wiggle room here for the banks and that this is a bit of hyperbole because let’s face it, some people, no matter how much you cut the payments down, cannot afford the houses they are living in now.  Modification must be discussed, but not all will qualify.  However, if the Net Present Value (NPV) of the payments under modification will gross more than a foreclosure sale, to turn down that option when you are comparing on a dollar to dollar basis seems like bad faith.  That was the point of one gentleman who claimed that due to the governmental deals through the FDIC, foreclosure and a guarantee of losses makes foreclosure too profitable. I cannot speak directly to that theory, but there is evidence to suggest that such deals were made and exist.
Finally, the Consumer Protection Act (CPA) would be applied to the mediation component.  The CPA would allow the State Attorney General to step in and regulate some of the bad actors that we have come to loathe over the last few years, and yes Aurora Loan Services, I include you in that group.  What is of note here, is that Mr. Jim Sugarman of the AG’s office came out and stated that his office “was in favor of the CPA being applicable to the entire Deed of Trust Act.”  That is significant, because that would mean that it wouldn’t be so damn hard for me to attach it to violations by banks.  I support Rob McKenna in making that a reality.
So what does this mean for us.  Nothing.  This is proposed legislation, it isn’t worth the paper it is written on until it is enacted.  So what can you do, call you state senator and legislative representatives.  Tell them you support this bill.  The banks have basically given a finger to “meet and confer” for the last three years and there isn’t any way in hell that I believe they will voluntarily act on the proclamation that they will strengthen this.
Additionally, we don’t need more housing counselors.  The ones we have don’t have the tools necessary to do anything.  This legislation would give housing counselors, private parties, and their attorneys real weapons to help homeowners out.  Call your legislators and tell them you support the bill.  Let’s get this one passed.

Originally posted at http://distressedandtaxed.blogspot.com/2011/01/update-on-hb-1362-hearing-this-morning.html

As I testify…Can I get a Hallelujah?

As some of you know, I did a little work as a preacher before turning to the dark side of the law.  Hopefully I can find a Revival with our members here at Financial Revival Group as we work through this awful time.  During my time as a preacher,  I had my fair share of chances to testify, but I never got a chance to get a hallelujah.  Well tomorrow, I am hoping for my chance because I will hopefully be testifying on behalf of consumers on a subject that is important to my clients.

It has been a crazy two weeks since my last post and part of the craziness is what I want to write about.  On January 19th, two bills were read on the congressional floors here in Washington (that is the state in the Northwest.)  The House read HB 1362, and the Senate read SB 5275.  These two companion bills are proposals for foreclosure mediation.  A good friend of mine, summed up the bills as such:

  • Adds provisions for foreclosure mediation if the borrower elects mediation
  • The beneficiary must conduct a good faith review of the borrower’s financial situation and offer a loan modification or other option if the borrower is eligible.  A good faith review means that the beneficiary: (1) evaluates the borrower’s eligibility for all loan modification programs; and (2) participate in foreclosure mediation, if the borrower elects mediation. Sharing information, negotiating willingly, cooperating with the mediator and keeping agreements are indications of good faith.   If the beneficiary fails to conduct a good faith review, it is a defense to foreclosure.
  • Extends the ‘meet and confer’ requirements to all loans (not just those made between 2003-2007)
  • Requires banks to pay a surcharge on every foreclosure filing that will fund the program and additional housing counselors
  • Makes it a Consumer Protection Act violation for any person to violate the duty of good faith in the mediation requirement

Tomorrow, I will be attending hearings in Olympia in both chambers and hopefully testifying on behalf of consumers and particularly the Member of Financial Revival Group.  I have been told that these meeting usually only have a handful of consumer advocates and the rest are taking money from the banks.  Well, I guess I technically take money from banks too, but that usually doesn’t happen in a willing transaction between business partners.  Its more like me acting like the school bully and the banks are giving up milk money.  For a kid that used to have to give up his milk money, that feels good.  Can I get a Hallelujah?

Multiple Listing Report: Houses in the Puget Sound area down.

What the statistics don’t tell you.

According to the Puget Sound Multiple Listing Service housing prices for Western Washington were down 3.59% to $269,95.  The report goes on to say that prices are down 21% from the peak in 2007 when the median price was $342,000.  The MLS is limited in the way they can report these figures and as a result, we the consumer are getting the wrong impression of the market.

The market is actually worse than the statistics show and here’s why:

When the MLS reports on sales, they can only give us the median house sold.  That means they are picking the house right in the middle.  1/2 sold for more and 1/2 sold for less.  What they cannot tell us is what is the house like that this number represents and that is why these numbers do not give us an accurate representation of the market. 

If last year the median home sold had 1,500 square feet, double car garage fenced yard in a semi desirable neighborhood and this years median, has 1,600 square feet, 3 car garage, fenced yard in a more desirable neighborhood, then the numbers are not accurate. 

If you can buy a larger, more desirable house for about 4% less this year over last, then the actual drop in value is more than 4%.  I don’t believe the MLS is deliberately skewing the numbers, they lack the ability in their database to be accurate.  That means that the actual drop in value is greater that we are being led to believe.  Not necessarily devious, but you should not bet your families future on it.

Our research shows that first time buyers, those that bought the typical starter home are less likely to just give their house back to the bank.  They mostly do that if they are forced to.  The group that is more likely to give their house back are those that have been homeowners for a while.  They understand the market better and realize that their housing values are not coming back in the next decade and want to cut their losses now.  This group typically has a more expensive home than the first timers and those are the homes that are on the market today, either via a short sale or from a bank.

Since 2/3 of the houses for sale today are negotiated with the bank in some form, it is safe to assume that the size and desirability of the median home on the market today are better than the median home of a year ago.   It is very safe to make this assumption comparing today’s housing market with that of 2007. 

So did you house in Western Washington drop 3.59% over the past year?  At least that much! 

Did your house drop more than that?  Absolutely!

To read the complete article, please consider Multiple Listing report: housing prices fell, sales stagnant in 2010 | Puget Sound Business Journal

Your upside down house could be making you crazy. Honest!

In a recent USA Today article we are told that a recently released US Government study shows that 1 out of 5  of us suffer from some kind of mental illness including depression and anxiety.  Is it coincidental that we have about that many people out of work?  We believe that over 40% of the people with a mortgage on their home is under water.  Meaning they owe more on their house than it is worth.  If you had planned to spend any of the money that you lost on your house, that could certainly be a depressing thought.

You can't hide from this.

We have realized in our work with under water homeowners that there is a huge emotional component dealing with this issue.  That is why the family counselor in our group is so popular.  We recognize that our current economy is destroying marriages, lives and yes even mental stability.  As you begin to look outside the box at options for your upside down property, you don't have to let it destroy you and those around you.  You have to take charge, get in control and put all of this behind you.  This will put your mind at ease knowing that there is life on the other side of this.  You have to be at peace with your choices.  We can help with the financial and the emotional. Please consider:  The Link Between Financial Trouble and Mental Illness.  There are no simple ways out of dealing with your house, all of the options have some consequences.  There are however, options that can give you a financial benefit outside of those discussed by Attorneys and your local Real Estate Agent.  Go to www.FinancialRevivalGroup.com for more information and solutions.